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There is a real possibility that the European Council might
not propose Claude Juncker, the Spitzenkandidat who enjoys significant majority
support in the European Parliament following the success of his party in the
European elections. Suppose that as part of a comprehensive personnel package
the Council proposed an external candidate as Commission President – whether
Christine Lagarde or someone else.
Juncker lacks support with some Member States, they might argue, the
British premier after having suffered at the hands of UKIP needs a victory, as
does the French President after having been pummeled by the right wing
nationalist Front National.
Suppose that the European Parliament responds by
respectfully rejecting the candidate. Voters were given a promise during the
elections, parliamentarians might say, that they would only elect a successful
Spitzenkandidat as a Commission President. It is imperative that they do
everything in their power to ensure that voters understand that they have a
reason to go and vote and take seriously the nominated Spitzenkandidaten in the
European elections four years from now. That, however, requires them to stand
by their promise, irrespective of the policy views and respectable qualities
that any alternative candidate proposed by the Council might have.
This kind of stand-off amounts to a power struggle between
the European Parliament and the European Council. It is a power struggle with considerable
constitutional policy implications. Does anyone doubt, that the power of the
European Parliament would be significantly augmented in its relationship to the
Council, if Parliament was effectively in the driving seat, when it comes to
determining the Commission President? Does anyone doubt that under such a
scenario in the next elections the choice of Spitzenkandidaten would be a high
profile affair, that the political campaign would further change its character
and that interest in European elections would go up? In the campaign this year the
Spitzenkandidaten individually and collectively said to anyone who was willing
to listen that it would all be different this time. But if this struggle will
be won by Parliament, it would have been made clear and communicated
effectively that everything is in fact different. On the other hand if the
Council was able to effectively push through their favored candidate against
the originally clearly expressed will of Parliament it would confirm all those
who look at European elections with a combination of either jaded cynicism,
disinterest or Eurosceptic fervor.
But irrespective of the policy-implications, how is such a power
struggle to be assessed in legal terms?
Does the law have anything to say about it or is it best understood as a
purely political conflict, to be decided by the tactics and strategy of the
relevant political actors, responsive to their own constituents and the
relevant publics? In the following I will argue that Art. 17 Sect VII does in
fact impose obligations on the parties and that under present circumstances the
European Council is under a legal obligation to propose Juncker as Commission
President.